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|a Analysis of the Copenhagen Accord pledges and its global climatic impacts- a snapshot of dissonant ambitions |h [electronic resource]. |
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|a [S.l.] : |b Institute of Physics Publishing, |c 2010-09-29. |
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|a Environmental Research Letters 5. |
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|a Please contact the owning institution for licensing and permissions. It is the user's responsibility to ensure use does not violate any third party rights. |
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|a This analysis of the Copenhagen Accord evaluates emission reduction pledges by individual
countries against the Accord’s climate-related objectives. Probabilistic estimates of the climatic
consequences for a set of resulting multi-gas scenarios over the 21st century are calculated with
a reduced complexity climate model, yielding global temperature increase and atmospheric
CO2 and CO2-equivalent concentrations. Provisions for banked surplus emission allowances
and credits from land use, land-use change and forestry are assessed and are shown to have the
potential to lead to significant deterioration of the ambition levels implied by the pledges in
2020. This analysis demonstrates that the Copenhagen Accord and the pledges made under it
represent a set of dissonant ambitions. The ambition level of the current pledges for 2020 and
the lack of commonly agreed goals for 2050 place in peril the Accord’s own ambition: to limit
global warming to below 2 ◦C, and even more so for 1.5 ◦C, which is referenced in the Accord
in association with potentially strengthening the long-term temperature goal in 2015. Due to the
limited level of ambition by 2020, the ability to limit emissions afterwards to pathways
consistent with either the 2 or 1.5 ◦C goal is likely to become less feasible. |
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|a Electronic reproduction. |c Florida International University, |d 2015. |f (dpSobek) |n Mode of access: World Wide Web. |n System requirements: Internet connectivity; Web browser software. |
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|a Katrine Krogh Andersen. |
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|a dpSobek |c Sea Level Rise |
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|u http://dpanther.fiu.edu/dpService/dpPurlService/purl/FI15050346/00001 |y Click here for full text |
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|a http://dpanther.fiu.edu/sobek/content/FI/15/05/03/46/00001/FI15050346_thm.jpg |
