Timescales for detecting a significant acceleration in sea level rise

Material Information

Title:
Timescales for detecting a significant acceleration in sea level rise
Series Title:
Nature Communications
Creator:
Haigh, Ivan D.
Wahl, Thomas
Rohling, Eelco J.
Price, René M.
Pattiaratchi, Charitha B.
Calafat, Francisco M.
Dangendorf, Sönke
Publisher:
Macmillan Publishers Limited.
Publication Date:
Language:
English

Subjects

Subjects / Keywords:
Sea level
Coastal ecology
Genre:
article
serial ( sobekcm )

Notes

Abstract:
There is observational evidence that global sea level is rising and there is concern that the rate of rise will increase, significantly threatening coastal communities. However, considerable debate remains as to whether the rate of sea level rise is currently increasing and, if so, by how much. Here we provide new insights into sea level accelerations by applying the main methods that have been used previously to search for accelerations in historical data, to identify the timings (with uncertainties) at which accelerations might first be recognized in a statistically significant manner (if not apparent already) in sea level records that we have artificially extended to 2100. We find that the most important approach to earliest possible detection of a significant sea level acceleration lies in improved understanding (and subsequent removal) of interannual to multidecadal variability in sea level records.
General Note:
Nature Communications; 5:3635

Record Information

Source Institution:
Florida International University
Rights Management:
Please contact the owning institution for licensing and permissions. It is the users responsibility to ensure use does not violate any third party rights.
Resource Identifier:
FI14082501
10.1038/ncomms4635 ( doi )